Products and publications

Taconet, N., A. Méjean, C. Guivarch. 2020. Influence of climate change impacts and mitigation costs on inequality between countries. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02637-w (online pdf access: https://rdcu.be/b2d1Z) -> slide deck

van Vuuren, D.P., van der Wijst, K., Marsman, S. et al. The costs of achieving climate targets and the sources of uncertainty. Nat. Clim. Chang.10, 329–334 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0732-1, access to online pdf: https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/395401

Agnew, M., Pettifor, H., Wilson, C. (2020) Lifestyles in Public Health, Marketing and Pro-Environmental Research. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich, UK. Available here.

Humpenöder, F., Karstens, K., Lotze-Campen, H., Leifeld, J., Menichetti, L., Barthelmes A. and Popp, A. (2020) Peatland protection and restoration are key for climate change mitigation. Environmental Research Letters, Volume 15, Number 10, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abae2a

Bauer, N., Bertram, C., Schultes, A. et al. Quantification of an efficiency–sovereignty trade-off in climate policy. Nature 588, 261–266 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2982-5

Müller-Casseres, E., Carvalho, F., Nogueira, T., Fonte, C., Império, M., Poggio, M., Wei, H.K., Portugal-Pereira, J., Rochedo, P.R.R., Szklo, A., Schaeffer, R. (2020) Production of alternative marine fuels in Brazil: An integrated assessment perspective. Energy. Volume 219. Doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.119444.

Oliveira, C.C.N. De, Zotin, M.Z., Rochedo, P.R.R., Szklo, A., (2020) Achieving negative emissions in plastics life cycles through the conversion of biomass feedstock. Biofuels, Bioprod. Bioref. https://doi.org/10.1002/bbb.2165

Madeddu, S., Ueckerdt, F., Pehl, M., Peterseim, J., Lord, P., Ajith Kumar, K., Krüger, C., Luderer, G. (2020) . The CO2 reduction potential for the European industry via direct electrification of heat supply (power-to-heat). Environ. Res. Lett. 15 124004. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbd02

Hurtt, G. C., Chini, L., Sahajpal, R., Frolking, S., Bodirsky, B. L., Calvin, K., Doelman, J. C., Fisk, J., Fujimori, S., Klein Goldewijk, K., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Heinimann, A., Humpenöder, F., Jungclaus, J., Kaplan, J. O., Kennedy, J., Krisztin, T., Lawrence, D., … Zhang, X. (2020). Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 13(11), 5425–5464. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-5425-2020

Fyson, C.L., Baur, S., Gidden, M. et al. (2020) Fair-share carbon dioxide removal increases major emitter responsibility. Nature Climate Change, 10, 836–841. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0857-2

Feindt, S., Kornek, U. Labeaga Azcona, J.M., Sterner, T., Ward, H. (2020) Understanding Regressivity: Challenges and Opportunities of European Carbon Pricing. Working paper. Available at SSRN: https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3703833

Johannes Emmerling, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Panagiotis Fragkos, Ramona Gulde, Elmar Kriegler, Jean-Francois Mercure, Bas van Ruijven, Yeliz Simsek, Massimo Tavoni, Charlie Wilson (2020) Impacts of COVID-19 and recovery packages on climate change mitigation action. NAVIGATE policy brief. https://www.navigate-h2020.eu/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Impacts-of-COVID-19-and-recovery-packages-on-climate-change-mitigation-First-results-from-NAVIGATE.pdf

Fleurbaey, M., Méjean, A., Pottier, A., Zuber, S. (2020) The welfare implications of climate change-related mortality: Inequality and population ethics.  halshs-03048370

Keppo, I., Butnar, I., Bauer, N. et al. (2021) Exploring the possibility space: Taking stock of the diverse capabilities and gaps in integrated assessment models. Environmental Research Letters. doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe5d8

Jaxa-Rozen, M., Trutnevyte, E. Sources of uncertainty in long-term global scenarios of solar photovoltaic technology. Nat. Clim. Chang. 11, 266–273 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-00998-8

Emmerling, J. and Tavoni, M. (2021) Representing inequalities in integrated assessment modeling of climate change. One Earth Volume 4, Issue 2, 177-180. 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.01.013

Frank, S., Gusti, M. Havlík, P. Lauri, P., Di Fulvio, F. Forsell, N., Hasegawa, T. Krisztin, T., Palazzo, A., Valin, H. (2021) Land-based climate change mitigation potentials within theagenda for sustainable development. Environmental Research Letters 16. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc58a

Gernaat, D.E.H.J., de Boer, H.S., Daioglou, V. et al. (2021) Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply. Nature Climate Change 11, 119–125. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00949-9

Huppmann D, Gidden MJ, Nicholls Z et al. (2021) pyam: Analysis and visualisation of integrated assessment and macro-energy scenarios [version 2; peer review: 3 approved]. Open Res Europe 2021, 1:74 (https://doi.org/10.12688/openreseurope.13633.2)

Pachauri, S., Poblete-Cazenave, M., Aktas, A. et al. (2021) Clean cooking access may stall under slow post-pandemic recovery and ambitious climate mitigation without explicit focus. Nature Energy 6, 1009–1010. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00939-x

Saujot, M., Le Gallic, T. and Waisman, H. (2021) Lifestyle changes in mitigation pathways: policy and scientific insights. Environmental Research Letters, Volume 16, Number 1. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd0a9

Rottoli, M., Dirnaichner, A., Pietzcker, R., Schreyer, F., Luderer, G. (2021) Alternative electrification pathways for light-duty vehicles in the European transport sector,
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment,
Volume 99, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2021.103005.

Bezerra, P., da Silva, F., Cruz, T., Mistry, M., Vasquez-Arroyo, E., Magalar, L., De Cian, E., Lucena, A.F.P., Schaeffer, R. (2021) Impacts of a warmer world on space cooling demand in Brazilian households. Energy and Buildings, 234, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2020.110696.

Fragkos P., Fragkiadakis. K.. Paroussos, L. (2021) Reducing the Decarbonisation Cost Burden for EU Energy-Intensive Industries, Energies, 14, 236. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14010236

Fragkos, P. (2021) Assessing the Role of Carbon Capture and Storage in Mitigation Pathways of Developing Economies. Energies 2021, 14(7), 1879; https://doi.org/10.3390/en14071879.

Strefler, J. et al. (2021) Alternative carbon price trajectories can avoid excessive carbon removal. Nat Commun 12, 2264. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22211-2

Soergel, B., Kriegler, E., Bodirsky, B.L. et al. (2021) Combining ambitious climate policies with efforts to eradicate poverty. Nat Commun 12, 2342. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22315-9

Emmerling J., Furceri D., Libano Monteiro F., Loungani P., Ostry J., Pizzuto P., and M. Tavoni (2021) Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics, IMF Working Paper, https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2021/04/30/Will-the-Economic-Impact-of-COVID-19-Persist-Prognosis-from-21st-Century-Pandemics-50288

Harmsen, M. et al (2021) Integrated assessment model diagnostics: key indicators and model evolution. Environ. Res. Lett. 16 054046. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf964

Nikas, A. Gambhir, A. Trutnevyte, E. et al. (2021) Perspective of comprehensive and comprehensible multi-model energy and climate science in Europe. Energy Volume 215, Part A. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.119153

Levesque, A. et al (2021) Deep decarbonisation of buildings energy services through demand and supply transformations in a 1.5°C scenario. Environ. Res. Lett. 16 054071

Gazzotti, P., Emmerling, J., Marangoni, G. et al. (2021) Persistent inequality in economically optimal climate policies. Nat Commun 12, 3421. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23613-y

Fragkos, P., Fragkiadakis, K., Sovacool, B., Paroussos, L., Vrontisi, Z., Charalampidis I. (2021) Equity implications of climate policy: Assessing the social and distributional impacts of emission reduction targets in the European Union, Energy, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121591

Soergel, B., Kriegler, E., Weindl, I. et al. (2021) A sustainable development pathway for climate action within the UN 2030 Agenda. Nat. Clim. Chang. 11, 656–664. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01098-3

Eker, S, Garcia, D., Valin, H., van Ruijven, B. (2021) Using social media audience data to analyse the drivers of low-carbon diets. Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 16 No 7, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf770

Vinca, A., Riahi, K., Roew, A., Djilali, N. (2021) Climate-Land-Energy-Water Nexus Models Across Scales: Progress, Gaps and Best Accessibility Practices. Front. Environ. Sci., https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.691523

Rochedo, P.R.R., Fragkos, P., Garaffa, R. Caiado Couto, L., Baptista, L.B., Cunha, B., Schaeffer, R. & Szklo, A. (2021) Is Green Recovery Enough? Analysing the Impacts of Post-COVID-19 Economic Packages. Energies, 14(17), 5567; https://doi.org/10.3390/en14175567

Xexakis, G. & Trutnevyte, E. (2021) Empirical testing of the visualizations of climate change mitigation scenarios with citizens: A comparison among Germany, Poland, and France, Global Environmental Change Vol 70. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102324

Poblete-Cazenave, M., Pachauri, S., Byers, E. et al. (2021) Global scenarios of household access to modern energy services under climate mitigation policy. Nat Energy 6, 824–833. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00871-0

Marangoni, G., Lamontagne, J.R., Quinn, J.D. et al. (2021) Adaptive mitigation strategies hedge against extreme climate futures. Climatic Change 166, 37. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03132-x

Feindt, S. Kornek, U. et al. (2021) Understanding regressivity: Challenges and opportunities of European carbon pricing, Energy Economics, Volume 103, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105550

van Sluisveld, M.A.E., et al. (2021) A race to zero – Assessing the position of heavy industry in a global net-zero CO2 emissions context, Energy and Climate Change, Volume 2, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2021.100051

Carvalho, F. Müller-Casseres, E. Poggio, M. et al. (2021) Prospects for carbon-neutral maritime fuels production in Brazil, Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol 326, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.129385

Müller-Casseres, E., Edelenbosch, O.Y., Szklo, A., Schaeffer, R., van Vuuren, D.P. (2021) Global futures of trade impacting the challenge to decarbonize the international shipping sector, Energy, Vol 237, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121547

de Oliveira, C.C.N., Angelkorte, G., Rochedo, P.R.R. et al. (2021) The role of biomaterials for the energy transition from the lens of a national integrated assessment model. Climatic Change 167, 57, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03201-1

Carvalho F, Portugal-Pereira J, Junginger M, Szklo A. (2021)  Biofuels for Maritime Transportation: A Spatial, Techno-Economic, and Logistic Analysis in Brazil, Europe, South Africa, and the USA. Energies 14(16):4980. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14164980

Pai, S., Emmerling, J., Drouet, L., Zerriffi, H., Jewell, J. (2021) Meeting well-below 2°C target would increase energy sector jobs globally, One Earth, Vol 4, Issue 7, 1026-1036, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.06.005

Andrijevic, M.; Byers, E.; Mastrucci, A.; Smits, J.; Fuss, S. (2021) Future cooling gap in shared socioeconomic pathways, Environmental Research Letters, Vol.16 No 9, 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2195

Piontek, S., Drouet, L.. Emmerling, J. et al. (2021) Integrated perspective on translating biophysical to economic impacts of climate change, Nature Climate Change, 11, pages 563–572, 10.1038/s41558-021-01065-y

Fisch-Romito, V., Guivarch, C., Creutzig, F., Minx, J.C., Callaghan,  M.W. (2021) Systematic map of the literature on carbon lock-in induced by long-lived capital,
Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 16, No. 5, 10.1088/1748-9326/aba660

Köberle, A.C., Vandyck, T., Guivarch, C. et al. (2021) The cost of mitigation revisited, Nature Climate Change, 11, pages 1035–1045, 10.1038/s41558-021-01203-6

Mastrucci, A., van Ruijven, B., Byers, E., Poblete-Cazenave, M., Pachauri, S. (2021) Global scenarios of residential heating and cooling energy demand and CO2 emissions, Climatic Change, 168, 10.1007/s10584-021-03229-3 -> slide deck

Pachauri, S., Poblete-Cazenave, M., Aktas, A., Gidden, M.J. (2021) Access to clean cooking services in energy and emission scenarios after COVID-19, Nature Energy, 10.1038/s41560-021-00911-9

Kikstra, J., Vinca, A., Francesco Lovat, F. (2021) Climate mitigation scenarios with persistent COVID-19-related energy demand changes, Nature Energy, 10.1038/s41560-021-00904-8

Budolfson M., Dennig F., Errickson F., Feindt S., Ferranna M., Fleurbaey M., Klenert D., Kornek U., Kuruc K., Méjean A., Peng W., Scovronick N., Spears D.,
Wagner F., Zuber S. (2021) “Climate action with revenue recycling has benefits
for poverty, inequality, and wellbeing”, Nature Climate Change 11, 1111-1116 https ://doi.org/10.1038/s41558- 021-01217-0

Budolfson M., Dennig F., Errickson F., Feindt S., Ferranna M., Fleurbaey M., Klenert D., Kornek U., Kuruc K., Méjean A., Peng W., Scovronick N., Spears D., Wagner F., Zuber S. (2021) “Protecting the poor with a carbon tax and equal per capita dividend”, Nature Climate Change 11, 1025-1026, Policy Brief, https ://doi.org/10.1038/s41558- 021-01228-x

Edelenbosch, O.Y., Rovelli, D., Levesque, A., Marangoni, G., Tavoni, M. (2021) Long term, cross-country effects of buildings insulation policies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 170, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120887.

Dasgupta, S., van Maanen, N., Gosling, S.N., Piontek, F., Otto, C., Schleussner, C.-F. (2021) Effects of climate change on combined labour productivity and supply: an empirical, multi-model study, The Lancet Planetary Health, Volume 5, Issue 7, https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00170-4.

Wilson, C. & van Ruijven, B. (2021) Long-term impacts of COVID-19 on energy use in transport and buildings. NAVIGATE project.  https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/17191/

Searchinger, T., Zionts, J., Peng, L., Wirsenius, S., Beringer T. and Dumas, P. (2021) A Pathway to Carbon Neutral Agriculture in Denmark. World Resources Institute. https://files.wri.org/d8/s3fs-public/2021-05/carbon-neutral-agriculture-denmark.pdf?VersionId=LRoNzLYZUZW1qHDMm3yMdgtefm5O2PRj

Maurício Aguilar Nepomuceno de Oliveira, Szklo, A., Castelo Branco, D.A. (2022) Implementation of Maritime Transport Mitigation Measures according to their marginal abatement costs and their mitigation potentials, Energy Policy, Vol. 160, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112699

Luderer, G., Madeddu, S., Merfort, L. et al. (2022) Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios. Nat Energy 7, 32–42. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00937-z

Fotiou, T., Capros, P., Fragkos, P. (2022) Policy Modelling for Ambitious Energy Efficiency Investment in the EU Residential Buildings. Energies, 15, 2233. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15062233

Lefèvre, J., Le Gallic, T., Fragkos, P., Mercure, J-F., Simsek, Y., Paroussos, L. (2022) Global socio-economic and climate change mitigation scenarios through the lens of structural change, Global Environmental Change, Volume 74, 102510, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102510.

Aleluia Reis, L., Drouet, L., Tavoni, M. (2022) Internalising health-economic impacts of air pollution into climate policy: a global modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health, Vol 6, Issue 1, https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00259-X

European Commission, Directorate-General for Research and Innovation, Science for climate action : EU research contribution to IPCC working group III on mitigation, Drabicka, K.(editor), Acosta Gonçalves, A.(editor), 2022, https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2777/899304

Fragkos, P. (2022) Analysing the systemic implications of energy efficiency and circular economy strategies in the decarbonisation context. AIMS Energy, 10(2): 191-218. doi: 10.3934/energy.2022011

Fragkos, P. and Fragkiadakis, K. (2022) Analyzing the Macro-Economic and Employment Implications of Ambitious Mitigation Pathways and Carbon Pricing, Frontiers in Climate Vol. 4, 10.3389/fclim.2022.785136

Humpenöder, F., Bodirsky, B.L., Weindl, I. et al. (2022) Projected environmental benefits of replacing beef with microbial protein. Nature 605, 90–96. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-04629-w

Guivarch, C., Le Gallic, T., Bauer, N. et al. (2022) Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights. Nature Climate Change 12, 428–435. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01349-x

Shayegh, S. & Dasgupta, S. (2022) Climate change, labour availability and the future of gender inequality in South Africa, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2074349

Dafnomilis, I., Chen H-H., den Elzen, M., Fragkos P., et al. (2022) Targeted Green Recovery Measures in a Post-COVID-19 World Enable the Energy Transition, Frontiers in Climate, Vol. 4, 10.3389/fclim.2022.840933

Malik, A. and Bertram, C. (2022) Solar energy as an early just transition opportunity for coal-bearing states in India, Environ. Res. Lett. 17 034011, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5194

Shayegh, S., Emmerling, J., Tavoni, M. (2022) International Migration Projections across Skill Levels in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Sustainability, 14, 4757. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14084757

den Elzen, M.G.J., Dafnomilis, I., Forsell, N. et al. (2022) Updated nationally determined contributions collectively raise ambition levels but need strengthening further to keep Paris goals within reach. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 27, 33. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-022-10008-7

Müller-Casseres et al. (2022) Are there synergies in the decarbonization of aviation and shipping? An integrated perspective  for the case of Brazil. iScience 25, 105248,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2022.105248

Verrier, B., Li P.H., Pye, S., Strachan, N. (2022) Incorporating social mechanisms in energy decarbonisation modelling, Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, Volume 45, 154-169, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2022.10.003

Yeh, S. et al (2022) Improving future travel demand projections: a pathway with an open science interdisciplinary approach, Progress in Energy 4, https://doi.org/10.1088/2516-1083/ac86b5

Mishra, A., Humpenöder, F., Churkina, G. et al. (2022) Land use change and carbon emissions of a transformation to timber cities. Nature Communication 13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32244-w

Pye, S. Welsby, D., McDowall, W., et al. (2022) Regional uptake of direct reduction iron production using hydrogen under climate policy, Energy and Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2022.100087.

Y. Liao, K. Ek, E. Wennerberg, S. Yeh and J. Gil (2022) A Mobility Model for Synthetic Travel Demand From Sparse Traces, in IEEE Open Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems, vol. 3, pp. 665-678, 10.1109/OJITS.2022.3209907

Morfeldt, J., Johansson, D.J.A. (2022) Impacts of shared mobility on vehicle lifetimes and on the carbon footprint of electric vehicles. Nat Commun 13, 6400, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33666-2

Mastrucci, A., Byers, E., Pachauri, S. et al. (2022) Cooling access and energy requirements for adaptation to heat stress in megacities. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 27, 59, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-022-10032-7

Freeman, R. & Pye, S. (2022) Socio-technical modelling of UK energy transition under three global SSPs, with implications for IAM scenarios, Env. Res. Letters, 17, 10.1088/1748-9326/aca54f

Colelli, F.P., Emmerling, J., Marangoni, G. et al. (2022) Increased energy use for adaptation significantly impacts mitigation pathways. Nat Commun 13, 4964. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32471-1

Fujimori, S., Wu, W., Doelman, J. et al. (2022) Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security. Nat Food 3, 110–121. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00464-4

Sanders, M., Serebriakova, A., Fragkos, P. et al (2022) Representation of financial markets in macro-economic transition models—a review and suggestions for extensions, Environ. Res. Lett. 17, 10.1088/1748-9326/ac7f48

Oliveira Fiorini, A.C. et al (2023) Sustainable aviation fuels must control induced land use change: an integrated assessment modelling exercise for Brazil, Environmental Research Letters, Volume 18, Number 1, 10.1088/1748-9326/acaee1

Cassin, L., Mejean, A., Zuber, S. (2023) Go where the wind does not blow: Climate damages heterogeneity and future migrations, Working Papers 2023.02, FAERE – French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists. http://faere.fr/pub/WorkingPapers/Cassin_Mejean_Zuber_FAERE_WP2023.02.pdf